Week 11 Stout Picks – Starts and Sits
We’re in the home stretch of the fantasy football season, as there are only three more non-playoff games left. This is the time to bring it, risk it, and take home the W’s. With that being said, On Tap is here to serve you a cold pint of winner’s lager to get you closer to those playoffs.
We’re in the home stretch of the fantasy football season, as there are only three more non-playoff games left. This is the time to bring it, risk it, and take home the W’s. With that being said, On Tap is here to serve you a cold pint of winner’s lager to get you closer to those playoffs. Let’s dive in.
Notable Bye Weeks: Packers, Giants, Seahawks, Titans
Josh Allen – BUF vs. MIA
Allen has been on a hot streak lately. He has rushed for three touchdowns within the last two weeks and has had at least 20 fantasy points in the last four games. The Dolphins are one of two NFL punchlines (I’m looking at you, Browns), but they have been middle-of-the-pack in terms of points allowed to QB’s, WR’s, and RB’s in the last four weeks. I still expect Allen to do his thing against this team especially with a healthy Devin Singletary.
Derek Carr – OAK vs. CIN
Carr had an admirable yet quiet performance against a division rival in the LA Chargers last week. However, expect him to bounce back and deliver a major performance this week. From weeks seven to ten, Derek Carr has at least two touchdowns and 250-plus yards in each game. I expect him to reach those levels and beyond considering he is facing a team that gives up the third-most points to opposing QB’s.
Tevin Coleman – SF vs. ARI
Tevin Coleman did not do much in his first matchup against the Cardinals, as it was the Jimmy Garoppolo show. He only scored three fantasy points and recorded just 23 yards rushing. Look for him to have a stout performance against the Cardinals at home this week. The 49ers will also be without Matt Brieda and they have a banged-up Raheem Mostert backing up Coleman. Look for Coleman to bounce back against a team that has given up the third-most fantasy points to opposing running backs in the last four weeks.
Melvin Gordon – LAC vs. KC
I hate to add Gordon to this list considering I have Austin Ekeler in many leagues. However, the best way to beat Patrick Mahomes is by keeping him off the field. The formula for that is controlling the time of possession with a sound run game. Expect the Chargers to be uber-competitive in this game and heavily utilize Gordon in running the ball down their throats. Considering how the Chargers defense has played lately, I do expect this game to be high-scoring with Gordon being utilized in both the pass and running game now that he has shown his strengths.
John Brown – BUF vs. MIA
As I have said before, Miami has been middle-of-the-road when it comes to allowing fantasying points to opponents’ wide receivers. However, expect Brown to post a second stellar performance against the Dolphins. In their first matchup, he had 83 yards and a touchdown. Over the last three weeks, Brown is averaging 8.6 targets per game. Expect him to have a big performance in week 11.
Dede Westbrook – JAX vs. IND (sleeper)
With Nick Foles starting, Dede is a high-upside but risky pick. They only worked together in the preseason, but boy did Foles like Westbrook. I believe that Foles will use Westbrook in his short, yet effective, pass strategy. If you’re hurting in the wide receiver department due to all of the byes, I would not hesitate to start a guy who has tons of upside such as Dede.
Deebo Samuel – SF vs. ARI (sleeper)
George Kittle will be out another week and Emmanuel Sanders is a game-time decision. Samuel was heavily targeted last week in a game without Sanders and Kittle. He could have another chance this week.
Sam Darnold – NYJ vs. WAS
Believe it or not, the Redskins have allowed the fourth-fewest points to opponents’ quarterbacks in the last four weeks. Darnold has also played inconsistently, even against “bad” teams such as the Dolphins. I’d rather start Jimmy Garoppolo in search of the matchup upside.
Kirk Cousins – MIN vs. DEN
Cousins has been doing very well as of late. However, the Broncos have allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to quarterbacks this year. Cousins will also be without Adam Thielen, who is arguably his best weapon aside from Dalvin Cook for another week.
Alvin Kamara – NO vs. TB
It’s unfortunate to see, but Kamara did not fare well in his return from injury last week. This week, he faces against one of the best run defenses. The Buccaneers have allowed 100 or more rush yards to only one player this year, and that was Chris Carson.
Allen Robinson – CHI vs. LAR
Stefon Diggs – MIN vs. DEN
In the last two weeks, Diggs has not scored more than 7.9 fantasy points. This week, he will be covered by Chris Harris and a Broncos defense that has allowed the third-fewest fantasy points to opponents’ wide receivers.
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