NFL DFS Week 12: Locks, Value, and CrackUm
A handy guide on who to play for Week 12 of Daily Fantasy Football.
There are only a few weeks left in the NFL regular season. Hopefully, it has been a successful campaign overall for everyone. Let’s keep that trend going for week 12. Prices are leveling out again, and value plays are all over the place. This is also the final week with four teams on the bye, so no more teams will be idle after this week. Good luck to everyone, and enjoy the main slate of games this weekend.
Lock: Baker Mayfield (FD:$7.5K/DK:$5.9K). It has been an up-and-down season for the whole Browns team. This includes Mayfield, who has only posted 20-plus points in two games. That will change this week against the Dolphins, as they have given up the fifth-most points to quarterbacks this season.
Value: Mitchell Trubisky (FD:$7.0K/DK:$5.1K). Call me crazy, but this is not a joke. This is finally the perfect game for a “breakout” performance by Trubisky. The Giants are another bad team against the quarterback and a disappointing Bears offense needs a confidence boost. Trubisky will finally break 300 yards and three touchdowns on Sunday.
Lock: Alvin Kamara (FD:$8.3K/DK:$8.2K). The return of Kamara is here! This week, he matches up against the Panthers, who rank as the fifth-worst defense against running backs. Kamara is starting to become the workhorse again for the Saints. This game is a prime opportunity for him to make that impact again. He will have 150 yards total and a touchdown.
Value: Derrius Guice (FD:$5.4K/DK:$4.7K). Last week’s performance was helped by a touchdown. With how the season has gone for the Redskins, they will want to continue to see what the young running back brings to the table. The matchup this week is perfect for just that, as the Lions are the worst team against running backs. Guice will get between 15-20 touches and another touchdown this week.
Lock: Michael Gallup (FD:$6.8K/DK:$5.9K). The work has been there for Gallup over the last two games. In each of those contests, he has had over ten targets. The matchup this week does not seem like the best one for the Cowboys at all because the Patriots are so good at stopping the opposing team’s best player. However, there are way too many options for them to completely shut down this week. Because of that, Gallup will have a better chance at a bigger game this week. Expect 12 targets resulting in just over 100 yards and one touchdown.
Value: Anthony Miller (FD:$4.6K/DK:$3.5K). Miller is a cheap play this week that you can pair with Trubisky at quarterback. Other options include Allen Robinson and Taylor Gabriel, but they will cost you a bit more. The targets are starting to increase for Miller as of late. The biggest factor in playing Miller is the matchup — the Giants rank as the third-worst defense against wideouts. Miller will catch a touchdown this week, and his yardage should be somewhere around 80 yards to add to that.
Lock: Zach Ertz (FD:$6.1K/DK:$6.0K). The Eagles recently figured out they have a star tight end that they need to get the ball to more often. Ertz has totaled 11 targets in each of the last two weeks. Also, the Seahawks rank near the bottom of the league against the tight ends this season. This game will be back and forth all day.
Value: Jacob Hollister (FD:$5.8K/DK:$4.3K). We’re going back-to-back in this matchup when it comes to tight ends. Hollister’s value increases a little more if Lockett is out. Even if he does play, value is still there. Over the last two games, he has three total touchdowns. That trend will continue this week with another touchdown and 70 yards.
CrackUm Player Of The Week
Russell Wilson (FD:$8.2K/DK:$6.8K). There is no stopping the Seahawks offense right now. With the current frontrunner for the league’s MVP running the show, there are seemingly no brakes on the Seattle attack. Wilson has simply been on point all season. Even though the Eagles rank near the middle of the league against the quarterback, that won’t stop Wilson. They will battle back and forth all day, so expect 350 yards and 3-4 total touchdowns.
Good luck to all this weekend. If you have any fantasy football-related questions, make sure you go follow @FantasyHRontap on Twitter.
Featured Photo: CBS Sports