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NFL DFS Week 12: Locks, Values, and the #CrackUm Player of the Week

Setting you up with the best DFS locks, value plays, and a potential breakout player for the NFL Week 12 main slate of games.

DFS Week 12
Photo: Mark J. Rebilas/USA TODAY Sports

This has been a very strange NFL season, unlike any we have seen before. Hopefully, it has at least been profitable and enjoyable for everyone. There are only a few more weeks left in the regular season, so let’s lock it in and close it out with some more winning! Good luck to everyone playing DFS and enjoy the Sunday main slate.

Quarterback

Photo: Jeff Roberson/Associated Press

Lock: Patrick Mahomes (FD:$9.0K/DK:$8.0K) – Over the last three games, Mahomes is back to his MVP ways. The matchup isn’t the best here, but this game will be a back-and-forth battle that plays into the Chiefs’ favor. There is no slowing the defending champs now, so play any of them with major confidence.

Value: Derek Carr (FD:$7.1K/DK:$5.7K) – This is a perfect matchup for a quarterback that is quietly having a nice season. Carr is a great value this week, especially considering how bad the Falcons defense is. With the Raiders’ hopes for the playoffs still alive, they will look to do anything to take this team down. Expect this to be similar to Carr’s performances against the Chiefs. The value is easy to hit this week.

Running Back

Photo: Jason Miller/Getty Images

Lock: Nick Chubb (FD:$8.4K/DK:$7.1K) – This will be a perfect matchup from both Browns’ running backs, as the Jaguars have a bottom-ranked rush defense. Now pair that with the even worse quarterback play, as they announced Mike Glennon as the starter. This will allow for more offensive possessions for the Browns. Except for 25+ touches, 125 yards, and a touchdown for Chubb.

Value: Matt Breida (FD:$4.8K/DK:$4.0K) – The Dolphins are suffering because of injuries again this season. It will be yet another week of ‘next man up’. This time, it will be the veteran running back and also the quarterback. As for Breida, however, he has not done much this season. This is a matchup that should help him get going. The value should be easy to obtain in this game. Expect around 15 total touches, 80 yards, and a touchdown.

Wide Receiver

Photo: Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images

Lock: Tyreek Hill (FD:$8.6K/DK:$7.8K) – Hill has posted six touchdowns over his last four games. He is on fire and that won’t be slowing down this weekend. His matchup against the Buccaneers is a pretty good one. Tampa Bay touts a middle-of-the-pack defense against the passing game this season and they are allowing their fair share of points. This game should be a high-scoring affair with plenty of points on the board. Expect Hill to find the end zone again this weekend.

Value: Curtis Samuel (FD:$5.9K/DK:$5.4K) – For the amount of work that Samuel has been getting the last few weeks, how is he still priced this low? Now he has a matchup against a bottom-ten passing defense, so the work will continue in this game. Additionally, he should have his normal quarterback returning in this game. He should post eight catches, 90 yards, and a touchdown.

Tight End

Photo: Vincent Carchietta/USA TODAY Sports

Lock: Darren Waller (FD:$7.1K/DK:$6.0K) – Waller is the most trustworthy pass-catching option for Derek Carr. This makes it easier with the Falcons being one of the worst defenses overall in football this season. What does not help them is that they are one of the worst teams against the position as well. Lock Waller in this week for a solid performance of around seven catches, at least 80 yards, and a touchdown.

Value: Jordan Reed (FD:$5.0K/DK:$3.6K) – The 49ers have lost so many players this season. That even included Reed for a few games, but is starting to become a big part of the offense since returning. The only issue this week is if he doesn’t play due to an illness that kept him out of practice on Friday. If he does not play, slot Ross Dwellley in his place!

#CrackUm Player Of The Week

Photo: Jasen Vinlove/USA TODAY Sports

Cole Beasley (FD:$5.4K/DK:$5.5K) – It looks like Beasley is now the number two wide receiver in this high-powered Bills offense. That is also due to the loss of John Brown for a few weeks now. This matchup comes against a Chargers’ defense that ranks in the middle of the league against the pass. This contest will be one of the higher-scoring affairs all weekend, so it’s an easy one to stack a few different players in as well. For his price this week, Beasley might see a little bit of a spike in ownership. However, he will beat his value by a large margin this week. Lock him in and win some money this weekend.


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