After a tough weekend, the only bet I placed on Monday easily covered with Arizona routing Northern Arizona by 43 points. On the season, we started hot, which was quickly erased by a tough weekend. The record sits at 20-20 (50%, -0.1 Units). There are a few value spots for Tuesday night, so let’s evaluate those.
Tennessee (-5.5) vs. Colorado
Tennessee has had all of their early-season games postponed or canceled due to a COVID-19 outbreak amongst coaches and other personnel. They are the 21st best team in the nation, according to KenPom.com, but they bring back their best player in John Fulkerson. Yves Pons and Santiago Vescovi can both provide some buckets as well. Jaden Springer is a five-star freshman who can quickly fill Jordan Bowden’s shoes. McKinley Wright will be the key scorer for the Buffaloes, but they will not be able to handle the force of Tennessee. This line is a bit out of whack, given that it is the Volunteers’ first contest.
Pick: Tennessee (-5.5)
Marquette (-22) vs. Green Bay
Green Bay is awful, and Marquette just upset Wisconsin last Friday on a last-minute buzzer-beater. Usually, there is some room to fade a team like that the following game, but not in this situation. Marquette distributes the ball, which should give the Phoenix some trouble. Freshmen Dawson Garcia and Justin Lewis are impressive. Marquette shoots 36.4% from three-point territory as a team. Teams like that have the propensity to cover these larger lines. They will also out-rebound Green Bay, who only snags about 32 boards per game. Ride the wave with the Golden Eagles.
Pick: Marquette -22
Duke (-3.5) vs. Illinois
Here is one of your marquee matchups of the week. Both the Blue Devils and Fighting Illini had games postponed this past weekend. The Illini played a strong game against the Baylor Bears but fell short. Duke held a similar fate when they paired with Michigan State on December 1st. This would be a blue-chip victory for the seeders of the NCAA Tournament in March for either squad. Matthew Hurt and Jalen Johnson carry the brunt of the work for Duke, while the Illini have four players averaging at least ten points per game (Ayo Dosunmu, Adam Miller, Kofi Cockburn, and Andre Curbelo). There is a mismatch with the brute force from Kofi Cockburn. Expect the Illini to feed the ball down there as much as possible. Duke is no walkover, but this is a good matchup for the Illini, who out-rebound and can shoot the three better thus far. Take the Illini down to a pick ’em.
Pick: Illinois +3.5
There you have it, folks. As always, follow me on Twitter, @cwsdjt, where I give out additional college basketball picks that may not show up in these articles. Best bets!