Championship weekend is here! It has been a wild ride for the NFL and fantasy owners alike, as this season has been quite unpredictable. Here I will look specifically at three different DFS games for Championship weekend. I take a look specifically at the FanDuel NFC Championship DFS games as well as one Superflex bonus!
NFC Championship Single Game
The NFC crown comes down to the Green Bay Packers hosting the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and we are in for a treat. The quarterbacks facing off this weekend have their work cut out for them, but that’s not where I’m leaning in this single game lineup. I don’t believe Aaron Rodgers or Tom Brady will underperform, but I think you can find game-winning value elsewhere.
When it comes down to it, everyone is expecting the Packers to throw all over the Bucs defense, considering the Bucs’ stellar run defense. Likewise, Green Bay doesn’t sport an elite defense that can stop the Bucs’ swiss army knife style of offense. They can be exploited. I believe everyone setting a single game lineup is thinking this too, and that’s where you can sneak out a huge victory.
MVP – 1.5X Points
Aaron Jones GB ($12,500) – No NFC Championship DFS lineup is complete without a stud MVP. Everyone is expecting Tampa Bay to slow Aaron Jones here and that is exactly why you should play him as your MVP. The pool of players to choose from is so slim in a single game lineup that you have to take chances if you want to come out on top.
Jones presents a huge opportunity here because running the ball is exactly what the Bucs don’t expect the Packers to do. Jones is also utilized in the short passing game, averaging just over three targets per game. Start him in your MVP spot over the obvious Davante Adams, Aaron Rodgers, or Tom Brady.
Completing The Lineup
Now that you have your MVP locked up, it’s time to bolster the four remaining roster spots. Below is one of the several variations I submitted personally and I’ll explain why.
Leonard Fournette TB ($11,000) – I was really mad that Ronald Jones didn’t play against Washington two weeks ago. I spent a chunk of my salary on him and, even though I almost doubled my money during Wild Card Weekend, I could have won even more had I started Leonard Fournette over Jones.
Fournette carried the ball 19 times for 93 yards and one touchdown against Washington. He added four catches for 39 yards and a total of 21.2 fantasy points. Last week against the Saints, he carried the ball 17 times for 63 yards. He also notched five receptions for 44 yards, a score, and 19.2 total fantasy points. Needless to say, Fournette is the Bucs’ bell-cow right now and he should be started as the clear #1 running back for Tampa Bay.
Aaron Rodgers GB ($16,000) and Davante Adams GB ($15,000) – This pair has been on fire all season long and there is no reason that should change now. It really doesn’t look like anyone can stop Rodgers from finding the best wide receiver (this year) in the league.
I expect both of them to combine for some big points alongside a balanced rushing attack from Jones. Undoubtedly, they will test the Bucs defense early and pairing them together let’s you maximize their scoring potential.
Tyler Johnson TB ($5,500) – I admit this pick was a desperation move. I needed to complete the lineup and had a limited amount of salary left. Luckily, with Chris Godwin, Mike Evans, and Antonio Brown all limited in practice this week, Tyler Johnson could see an uptick in targets.
The probability that any of the three aforementioned players actually miss their first NFC Championship game is quite low. However, they could be injured enough to warrant limited snaps which could spread more volume to players like Scotty Miller and Tyler Johnson.
I couldn’t get into any fantasy football starts and sits this week without at least mentioning Josh Allen. I’ve loved the Buffalo Bills offense all year and it will be more of the same this week. The Chiefs defense is not elite and the Bills will definitely score.
Darrel Williams KC ($6,000) – This is a great value play at only $6,000, especially if Clyde Edwards-Helaire misses the game or is limited.
CEH has been limited in practice all week and that bodes well for Darrel Williams who rushed for 78 yards last week against Cleveland.
Ronald Jones TB ($5,600) – I mentioned above how disappointed I was with Jones two weeks ago and that remains true. This was the necessary evil in order to start Josh Allen in my Superflex position. Jones could potentially bounce back from the low production he’s had, but he’s still dealing with an injury.
I’ll eat this one and regret it, but it’s worth it for two quarterbacks in one lineup. If you’re not starting two quarterbacks in a Superflex lineup then why are you even entering that one?
Good luck this weekend in your NFC Championship DFS lineups! Trust your gut here and don’t overthink any of these fantasy starts. You know who the stars are. It’s only a matter of piecing together the right players around them!