After a subpar Monday night of hoops but a positive weekend, we press on with more betting action. Tuesday is an action-packed night of college basketball. Three plays will occupy the card. Let’s get to it!
Tulsa/Temple Under 128.5
This matchup seems to be on the right side of the market thus far. Most books have seen this one move down slightly, so take it as soon as possible. Tulsa is 6-6 ATS to the under, but Temple is 5-2. Temple also has only crossed 128 points three times in seven games. Tulsa plays at a snail’s pace (318th in all of college basketball), and both teams use at least 17.5 seconds per possession. Tulsa’s strength is its defense, which ranks 45th in the NCAA in efficiency and 32nd in turnover percentage. They also only allow a 43.8% shooting percentage inside the arc. Temple’s Jake Forrester is one of their main scoring sources down low, and he is questionable with a hand injury. Even if he plays, Temple’s strength is in their guards. Given these variables, it is hard to see this game eclipsing 125 points.
Pick: Under 128.5
St. Joseph’s vs. Richmond (-11.5)
After a two-week pause due to COVID-19, the Richmond Spiders blew a home game against LaSalle and shot only 41.1%. This is the perfect time to bet them. St. Joe’s is the worst team in the Atlantic 10 (0-7 in conference) and are 182nd in KenPom rankings. Richmond played poorly for a team with a top-26 offense, most likely due to the fact that they did not play for two weeks. St. Joe’s’ only victory came against Albany on January 9th, but they have struggled against top-70 teams. They cannot rebound, which is really one of Richmond’s largest weaknesses. Take that out of the equation, and Richmond’s 54.4% effective FG percentage will be the story. St. Joe’s is also missing their best player in Ryan Daly, who leads the team in scoring and rebounding. The Spiders could win this by 20 if they have their heads on straight.
Pick: Richmond -11.5
Auburn (-1.5) vs. Missouri
The Missouri Tigers are a solid but somewhat unpredictable team this season. They have dropped games to Mississippi State and Tennessee but also have beaten Illinois, Oregon, Arkansas, and Tennessee (this past weekend). Auburn comes off of a massive margin of victory over South Carolina, but their most notable victory was against Kentucky, who has struggled this season. Missouri has a top-25 defense, and since Auburn’s strength is in their guards with Sharife Cooper and Allen Flanigan, Mizzou has the blockade to match in Dru Smith, Mark Smith, and Xavier Pinson. Forward Jeremiah Tilmon may dominate on the block if he can get Jaylin Williams into foul trouble. Otherwise, Auburn has no match for the 6-foot-10, 260 lb senior. Given the matchup problems, Missouri should win this one close, even if it is on the road.
Pick: Missouri +1.5
There you have it! As always, follow me on Twitter (@cwsdjt), where I post picks daily. Best bets, and let’s post some winners!