We’re entering Saturday’s college football slate with at least three wins from Thursday and Friday’s slate. Who is ready for another exciting Saturday betting on teenagers tossing the pigskin?
Oklahoma at Kansas (Oklahoma -38.5)
You know this already. We are fading Kansas until Bill Self is court-side yelling at the basketball players he might have paid to come play for their school’s basketball program. That is a joke, but you get my point. Kansas is the worst football program in all of college football. Connecticut is right there next to them. Kansas is 0-6 ATS this season and now hosts an Oklahoma team that is one of the best in not only in the Big 12, but all of college football. This will be a blood bath. It’s also one of Iowa Zach’s favorite plays this weekend, as he said on yesterday’s On Tap Bets podcast. Kansas is 6-21 ATS in their last 27 games overall.
Oklahoma State at Iowa State (Oklahoma State +7)
The Cowboys are undefeated yet come into this matchup as seven-point underdogs to the Cyclones. Iowa State has started to play like the team that was ranked No. 7 in The Associated Press preseason poll, beating Kansas State and covering last week. Oklahoma State’s defense is what led the comeback over Texas last week and it will be key this week behind Malcolm Rodriguez, who leads the Big 12 in tackles per game (10). The Cowboys are second-best in the Big 12 in yards allowed per game as well (307.2). Iowa State allows just 251.3 yards per game and 16.3 points per game, both the best in the Big 12.
With these defenses, it’s hard for me to believe Iowa State is going to win by more than a touchdown. I like the Cowboys on the road.
BYU at Washington State (Washington State +4)
It’s the Cougars versus the Cougars. One team’s head coach was fired because he and four assistants failed to follow Gov. Jay Inslee’s mandate that all state employees be vaccinated, the other has lost two straight games and is just trying to get back on track. BYU has wins over Arizona State, Arizona, and Utah as far as PAC-12 opponents. Washington State has won three straight games, and now are underdogs at home. I think they keep it close with this struggling BYU team that’s struggled to put up points of late. The Cougars are 4-0 ATS in their last four games and 5-0 ATS in their last five games in October. Washington State is 27-12 ATS in their last 39 games following a ATS win.
Liberty at North Texas (Liberty -21.5)
Liberty experienced its worst loss of the season, and perhaps in program history, last week against LA-Monroe, a team they were 32.5-point favorites against. As someone who consistently backs the Flames, it was shocking. That loss sets up a big bounce back week at North Texas as 21.5-point favorites. Liberty is 12-2 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games and 5-1 ATS in their last six games following a loss.
Clemson at Pittsburgh (Pittsburgh -3.5)
This week will be the first time since 2016 where Clemson was an underdog. It’s because their offense is not easy to watch. Clemson lost to NC State, and barely beat Georgia Tech, Syracuse, and Boston College. Now, they get a ranked Pittsburgh team. I think the Tigers take their third loss this weekend in what will be the biggest home game for the Panthers this season. Pittsburgh is 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite and 6-1 ATS in their last seven games overall. Meanwhile Clemson is 0-7 ATS in their last seven games overall. Yikes.
UTSA at Louisiana Tech (UTSA -6)
For the first time in program history, UTSA entered a week as a top 25 program. The undefeated Roadrunners blanked Rice last week 45-0 and now travel to the Bulldogs’ house. Louisiana Tech played tough against NC State, but sit at 2-4. They’re led by Austin Kendall, who has 10 touchdowns, but eight interceptions on the season. UTSA’s defense has forced 14 turnovers and only lets opponents rush for 81.9 yards per game. Frank Harris has 14 touchdowns to just three interceptions. I think the turnover battle will be key for UTSA to cover. The Roadrunners are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games overall and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 road games. The under is also enticing, as it is 10-0-1 in the Roadrunners last 11 games following an ATS win.
Ohio State at Indiana (Ohio State -21)
Ohio State has had two weeks to prepare for Indiana, a team that lost by just a touchdown to the Buckeyes last season. This could be a trap game for Ohio State as their next four games following this week are against ranked teams. However, Ohio State has been rolling since its loss to Oregon. CJ Stroud has 18 touchdowns to just three interceptions and has been dominate the last two games against Rutgers and Maryland. Ohio State is scoring 48.5 points per game. The Hoosiers have no shot in this game. It’s not 2020 anymore in Bloomington. Ohio State is 3-0-1 ATS in its last four games as a road favorite and Indiana is 0-4 ATS in their last four games as an underdog and overall. Roll Buckeyes.
South Carolina at Texas A&M (Texas A&M -19.5, Over 45)
The Aggies are still riding high after their win over Alabama two weeks ago as they handled and covered against Missouri last week. South Carolina is starting a graduate student at quarterback. No offense to graduate students, but that doesn’t bode well for the Gamecocks. Before their victory over a bad Vanderbilt team last week, South Carolina lost nine straight SEC games. A new streak will start this week. South Carolina is just 3-9 ATS in their last 13 games overall and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 conference games. Texas A&M is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games overall. The over is 6-0 in South Carolina’s last six road games as an underdog and 7-1 in its last eight road games total.
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