It’s one thing to be wrong about a particular bet, and it’s another never to have a shot. Last week, despite playing 94 percent of offensive snaps, T.J. Hockenson had one target and zero catches. YIKES. Maybe the Detroit Lions would’ve won the game instead of going to overtime and tying had they got their best pass-catcher involved. Also, we had a genuinely awful beat with Michael Carter finishing with 39 rushing yards. One more lousy yard, and it’s a winning week overall. However, the prop bets article went 3-3 in Week 10. It’s time to get back on track. Here are my favorite props for Week 11. Happy betting, and let’s make some cash.
Disclaimer: All betting odds are courtesy of BetRivers unless stated otherwise. All lines and odds mentioned are as of the time of writing and subject to change.
Mecole Hardman Over 24.5 Receiving Yards (-113)
Mecole Hardman gets forgotten about in the Kansas City Chiefs offense behind Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill. He’s gone over this number seven times this season, and he’s in an excellent position to do so again today. The Dallas Cowboys will most likely focus on Hill and Kelce, and this is a projected shootout, according to Vegas, with a 56-point total. Hardman averages four catches for 40 yards. I’d play this number to 27.5.
Justin Fields Over 197.5 Passing Yards (-115)
Is it safe to say Justin Fields has arrived? I don’t want to go overboard, but that’s two games in a row where he’s looked great in the second half. On Monday Night Football against the Pittsburgh Steelers, he threw for 291 yards and nearly pulled off a comeback victory. He made throws and plays you can’t teach. Now, coming off the bye week, he gets to face the Baltimore Ravens at home. The Ravens have given up the most passing yards per game this season (283.3). This number has come down from where it was earlier this morning. Fine by me. I’m smashing over, and I’d play it up to 208.5.
Cam Newton Over 0.5 Interceptions (+108)
We all love a good comeback story. We all got caught up in the “I’m back” statement Cam Newton made last week. However, he only threw the ball four times and hadn’t played all season up to that point. Last season with New England, Cam threw more interceptions than touchdowns. Who knows if he’s learned the entire playbook yet? If you’re going to give me plus-money on him to throw one interception, I’ll take it.
Devonta Freeman Under 46.5 Rushing Yards (-113)
It’s scary because of how low the number is, but Latavius Murray is expected to play. That means he’s probably going to eat into Devonta Freeman’s workload. Lamar Jackson remains questionable. If Jackson is out, the Ravens could hand the ball off more than usual. The Bears are dealing with injuries to Akiem Hicks and Khalil Mack, which also hurts.
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