It’s a stacked card tonight full of college basketball, and I’m diving in full force while sprinkling in an NBA bet. Strap the seat belt on and get ready for a bumpy ride.
Lately, I feel like I’ve been making quality bets but falling on the wrong side of some bad luck. There are times as bettors when we are completely off and get things wrong. Then, there are times unexplainable things happen.
That was the case last night when I gave out my best bet of the night, Damien Harris Over 11.5 Rushing Attempts. Harris was well on his way to smash that, rushing ten times for 111 yards and a touchdown. The New England Patriots only attempted three passes for the entire game! Undoubtedly, Harris was going to get more than ten carries. Then, of course, the man got injured. You can’t blame him for something out of his control, and I hope he doesn’t have to miss time, but I’m certainly stung by this result.
Anyways, that happens. All I can hope is that eventually, I’ll get some of that favorable luck swinging in my favor on bets I get right when maybe I shouldn’t. Out with the old, in with the new. Let’s get to my favorite bets for this evening.
College Basketball Bets
Arkansas Team Total Over 80.5 (-114)
Arkansas hosts UNC Charlotte tonight. The No. 10 Razorbacks are off to a terrific 8-0 start. Fresh off a 93-78 home victory over Little Rock, head coach Eric Musselman believes they need to be more mentally sharp. Those are the types of things you want to hear from a head coach after his team is coming off a victory. It means he won’t allow this team to settle for mediocrity.
Led by JD Notae and Pittsburgh transfer Au’Diese Toney, the Razorbacks are putting up a healthy 83 points per game, ranking 17th in the nation. More importantly, they’re scoring points lately, averaging 88.7 points per game over their last three games.
Arkansas could cover this 18-point spread, but as their coach pointed out, they tend to have mental lapses on the defensive end. I’ll put my money on them scoring points against this weak Charlotte defensive unit. They could easily notch another 90-plus point performance. I’d play this up to 82.5, as they should at least reach their season average of 83 points per game.
Eastern Kentucky +17 (-110 on PointsBet)
Eastern Kentucky is coming off a three-game losing streak. USC is off to an 8-0 start to the season. The Trojans have EKU beat in the size department, ranking as the fourth-tallest team by average height.
However, the Colonels shoot the ball well from beyond the arc and push the pace with an uptempo, smaller lineup. Eastern Kentucky also has four shooters with a 40 percent three-point field goal mark or better. At West Virginia, the Colonels were able to keep it close and only lose by three points primarily due to their three-point shooting. USC does a good job defending the three, but I could see Curt Lewis, Jannson Williams, and company making things difficult for the Trojans. I’d play this down to 16.5.
Texas Tech +4 (-107)
This game is bound to draw some eyes and it should be a fun matchup between a pair of one-loss teams. The No. 13 Tennessee Volunteers and the Texas Tech Red Raiders will square off at Madison Square Garden for the 2021 Jimmy V Classic.
The Vols are shooting 36.2 percent from three-point range, an area in which Texas Tech struggles on defense, allowing opponents to shoot 35.5 percent from beyond the arc. On the other hand, the Red Raiders can put up points, ranking 12th in the country with 85.4 points per game. Also, for the most part, they do a good job defensively, allowing only 59.4 points per game, which ranks 37th.
While Texas Tech struggles to defend the three, it’s not exactly a strength for the Vols, either. The Vols rank 260th with a 34.7 percent three-point field goal percentage allowed mark. Behind Terrence Shannon’s team-leading 16.5 points per game, 44 percent three-point shooting, and Kevin Obanor’s 43.8 percent shooting from three, the Red Raiders should be able to exploit the Vols. +4 feels like too many points in a matchup I consider closer to a coin toss. Back the Red Raiders down to +3.5.
Dejounte Murray to Record a Double-Double (+140)
This one is super simple. I’m going to ride Murray’s recent trend of double-doubles.
Murray has recorded a double-double in nine of his last 10 games. He’s racked up double-digit points in all nine of those, and he gets it done in two other categories. Whether it be assists or rebounds, one of those two stats is giving him a double-double almost every night.
I’m riding the hot hand, and I would also look into taking the Over on his points+rebounds+assists prop, which currently sits at 33.5. For the season, he averages 36 points+rebounds+assists per game.
Good luck, and let’s win some cash. Follow me on Twitter (@Theriot326) for the rest of my picks.
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