If you forced yourself to watch the brick-fest that took place between the Texas Tech Red Raiders and the Tennessee Volunteers, hopefully, you at least tailed me and took Texas Tech to cover. What an absolutely boring game to watch. Good defense, but even worse offense. Nonetheless, we boogie on after a solid 3-1 night of betting. Let’s keep it rolling with some more college basketball picks on this jam-packed Wednesday.
Western Carolina +3 (-108)
Sticking to what worked for me last night, I’m taking a team that’s more than a one-point underdog when I view it as more of a pick ‘em game. That was the case and reasoning for my Texas Tech +4 pick over Tennessee last night. As it turned out, neither team had plans of pulling away. In this matchup, Western Carolina comes in with a 5-4 record on the heels of a victory over South Carolina Upstate on Saturday. Tennessee Tech isn’t entering this contest in good form, holding a 2-6 record with losses in three straight games.
Both of these teams struggle defensively. Tennessee Tech has allowed the 11th-highest shooting percentage. Meanwhile, Western Carolina allows nearly 80 points per game. Something has to budge. Give me the team ranked 111th in points per game over the team ranked 253rd. I’m not trying to pick on Tennessee teams, but if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it. As long as Western Carolina is an underdog, I’ll take the points with them at home, and maybe sprinkle a little moneyline action as well.
Cornell +17.5 (-110 on PointsBet)
This game features two teams that play with extremely different styles. Cornell plays very fast, ranking 11th in KenPom’s adjusted tempo. Conversely, the Hokies play at one of the slowest paces, with a 342nd adjusted tempo ranking. Style clashes make for good battles. Virginia Tech has only allowed one team to score more than 69 points, and that came in their last game when they allowed 80 points to Wake Forest. However, Cornell ranks second behind only Arizona, scoring 91.2 points per game.
Cornell’s strength of schedule comes into play. They are off to an 8-1 start, but they haven’t played many good teams outside of Penn State, which resulted in their lone loss. I expect the Hokies to muddy the water tonight and play physically and slow. Nonetheless, Cornell’s efforts to push the tempo and shoot threes should keep this game reasonable. If you like looking at trends, Cornell is a perfect 7-0 ATS this season. Give me Big Red and the points. I’d play it to +16.5.
Southeast Missouri State +1.5/Moneyline (+104 ML)
Talk about marquee matchups. I’m writing up only the best games from a viewing perspective today. The Evansville Purple Aces take their 4-7 record on the road to take on Southeast Missouri State.
Giving bettors pause might be the fact that SEMO ranks 324th in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency. In this particular matchup, Evansville shoots far too many threes for a team that’s not very good at making them. The Purple Aces are tied for the 13th-most three-point field goal attempts, and they only shoot 32.75 percent from downtown. SEMO’s defense is bad, but they should be able to stave off the 249th ranked adjusted efficiency unit Evansville brings to the table. Give me the home court dogs on the moneyline.
Minnesota +7 (-110)
Michigan State opens its conference action by traveling to Minnesota tonight. The No. 19 Spartans are 7-2 and the Golden Gophers have started strong with a 7-0 stretch to begin the season. Last year, Michigan State got dismantled by Minnesota, losing by 25 points on the Golden Gophers’ home court. Williams Arena is always a tough place to play. Michigan State has one of the best defensive units in the country. According to KenPom’s adjusted efficiency rankings, the Spartans rank third in the nation.
With that said, the Golden Gophers are coming off a strong win in Starkville against Mississippi State. Led by guard Payton Willis and Jamison Battle, the two combined for 44 points in the 81-76 win. Michigan State’s head coach Tom Izzo will have his team ready to play, knowing what happened against this team last year. However, I think Minnesota can do enough to hang with them. Give me the Golden Gophers and the points. +7 is the last number I would play this at.
Good luck, and let’s win some cash. Follow me on Twitter (@Theriot326) for more picks.
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