Navigating the final week of the NFL regular season is always one of the most difficult things as a gambler. Understanding all of the playoff implications and scenarios, along with who’s in and who’s resting, makes the final week chaotic and complicating. Surely, we are going to see some unsuspecting names score touchdowns today. Then, of course, we have to consider the incentives. Players have incentives baked into their deals with bonuses they can receive for reaching certain statistical markers.
With that said, there are a few potential advantageous situations. Get sportsbook apps and thumbs ready. Let’s make this a profitable final week of the season.
Kyle Pitts Over 58.5 Receiving Yards (-130 DraftKings Promotion)
Although the Falcons are eliminated from the playoffs and playing a meaningless game, it’s not useless for everyone. Pitts has had a remarkable rookie season. Last week, he became the only rookie tight end in NFL history with at least 60 receptions and 900 receiving yards. With one game left in the balance, Pitts has a chance to break Mike Ditka’s record set in 1961 for most receiving yards by a rookie tight end. He needs 59 yards. Iron Mike achieved the feat in only 14 games, but this is still noteworthy and a tremendous accomplishment.
DraftKings is running a promotional prop where Pitts must only reach his needed yardage to cash the ticket. However, I will also be playing the over on his normal receiving yardage prop up to 64.5 for a better payout with less juice attached. Additionally, I would consider placing a wager on Pitts to score an anytime touchdown.
John Bates Over 22.5 Receiving Yards (-110 on FanDuel)
Starting with the matchup, the New York Giants have allowed over 49 receiving yards per game to opposing tight ends this season. Bates has established himself as the number one tight end option for the Washington Football team over the last few weeks. He’s gone over this number in four of his last five games, including each of the last three.
Tyler Lockett Over 56.5 Receiving Yards (-115 on DraftKings)
Ready for another incentive? Lockett needs two touchdowns to get a $1.2 million incentivized bonus. The Arizona Cardinals have a solid secondary, but Lockett was able to catch four passes for 115 yards the last time these two teams met. Lockett also had a huge game in Week 17 last year, catching 12 passes for 90 yards and two scores.
I’m willing to sprinkle a little money on him scoring an anytime touchdown as well, but I think Russell Wilson will pepper him with targets today.
Stefon Diggs Over 70.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Rob Gronkowski Anytime Touchdown (+110)
Cole Kmet Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-110)
Follow @OnTapBets on Twitter for additional plays and gambling commentary!
Follow On Tap Sports Net on social media!