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Super Bowl LVI Prop Bets: Novelty Picks, Game and Player Breakdowns

If there is ever a game to bet on something unusual, this is it. Let’s have some fun and make some money while watching Super Bowl LVI.

Super Bowl LVI Prop Bets

Folks, we’ve waited all football season for this. Hell, as sports fans, we’ve been waiting all year. And as degenerate gamblers, this Sunday is like Christmas morning, but with prop bets littered under the tree instead of presents. After that gong show of a Pro Bowl last week, we are set for the biggest game of the year, Super Bowl LVI.

The Bengals took an unlikely route to make it to the big game, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs in dramatic fashion to secure the AFC crown. Meanwhile, every player acquisition the Rams made has paid off, and they find themselves as four-point favorites following a win over the San Francisco 49ers in the NFC Championship Game.

If you missed the On Tap Bets live show last night, check out the podcast version of it here.

Searching for Super Bowl LVI bets to place, we have our normal variety of prop options, featuring player passing yards, receiving yards, anytime touchdown scorers, etc. But for this one game, the books have opened up the candy store and given us many goodies to choose from. Vegas wants to take full advantage of our desire to gamble on this game. After all, Super Bowl Sunday is a huge moneymaker for the books.

Gambling is about having fun and making money while doing it. Don’t be a sucker and bet on everything, but if there’s ever a week to bet on something unusual, this is it. Without further delay, here are some of my favorite prop bets for Super Bowl LVI. Let’s start with some novelty props.

*Disclaimer: All odds are as of writing and subject to change.*

Novelty Props

Coin Toss Outcome: Tails (-103 BetRivers)

Let’s start right at the beginning. Tails never fails. In reality, this has failed 26 out of 55 times in Super Bowl history. However, that’s still a 53 percent hit rate, which is better than the 50-50 odds we mathematically and logically have.

The Kansas City Chiefs won last year’s coin toss by correctly calling heads. Let’s bet on tails and hope the coin flips in our favor this year.

Color of Gatorade Poured on Winning Coach: Orange (+300 DraftKings)

The first Super Bowl Gatorade bath happened in 1987 when Bill Parcells was doused in orange Gatorade by Giants’ Hall of Famer Henry Carson. Sincerely, I have no idea which color will be used this Sunday. This is truly a gamble unless you have inside information.

I’ll guess orange for shits and giggles at +300 on DraftKings.

National Anthem Over/Under: 1 minute, 35 seconds?

This is another prop where having insider information comes in handy. One minute and 35 seconds seems extremely short on time, especially looking at past Super Bowl National Anthem lengths. This year’s singer, country music star Mickey Guyton, has two previously taped National Anthems. Both performances clocked in under the current time listed to bet.

However, this is a bet I’m staying away from until we get a leaked video with the timed length from rehearsals like we did last year when someone tweeted it out.

Game Props

Opening Kickoff to Be a Touchback: No (-110 DraftKings)

Before last year’s Super Bowl, Pat McAfee described how the ball used in the Super Bowl is different than the typical pigskin. Apparently, the opening kickoff ball is brand new, and immediately following the kickoff, the ball is taken off to be placed in the Hall of Fame. According to McAfee, it’s tough to hammer the ball into the endzone for a touchback because of this tradition.

“It’s basically just plastic,” McAfee said of the opening kickoff ball, which he booted in Super Bowl XLIV. Unlike other games, an equipment manager doesn’t rub it up or beat on it.

If you’re a baseball fan, you can relate to this. Brand new baseballs are often harder to control. In my estimation, Harrison Butker has more leg strength than both kickers in this year’s Super Bowl. Hence, he was able to boot one for a touchback. Therefore, I’m betting that the opening kickoff will not be a touchback this year. It’s time for a change.

First Half Total: Under 24 (-120 FanDuel)

The Super Bowl typically starts a little slow if history tells us anything. There’s a bit of a feeling-out period combined with overall nerves, being that it’s such a big game for both teams involved. The Rams defense features some absolute studs that will make life difficult for the Bengals’ offensive line. Plus, there’s plenty of familiarity between head coaches Sean McVay and Zac Taylor, which will be the youngest head coaching battle in Super Bowl history.

Since his first Super Bowl appearance didn’t go so well, and the Rams only scored three points, it’s easy to envision McVay being more aggressive in the first half. However, I could see more of a run-heavy approach from the Bengals to control the game and feel out the opposition.

With that said, I don’t envision the two sides combining for more than 24 points in the first half.

First Quarter Winner 3-Way No Push: Draw (+400 FanDuel)

I’m taking a flier here with a smaller unit bet. Depending on the book you use, this will either say draw or tie. This correlates well with my projection of a lower-scoring first half. Instead of taking the Under 9.5 in the first quarter, why not get crazy and hope for a tie?

By the end of the first quarter, something like a 0-0, 3-3, or 7-7 score isn’t entirely out of the question. At 4-to-1 odds, this is good value.

Both Teams to Score – 3rd Quarter: Yes (+102 FanDuel)

Once again, playing a little game script theory here. If these coaches have shown us anything, they are proficient at making halftime adjustments. A higher-scoring second half is on the horizon after a lower-scoring first half.

Zac Taylor Sean McVay Super Bowl Coaches Bengals Rams
Photo: YahooSports/Twitter

This season, the Bengals have scored points in the third quarter in 85 percent of their games, including the playoffs. Meanwhile, the Rams tied for the fourth-most points per game scored in the third quarter this season.

Distance of Shortest Successful Field Goal: Over 27.5 (-112 FanDuel)

28 of Evan McPherson’s 33 field goal attempts were 30 yards or longer during the season. Every field goal he’s kicked during the postseason has been from 28 yards or further. 28 of Matt Gay’s 34 regular-season attempts came from 30 or more yards. Eight of his nine attempts have been over 27.5 yards during the playoffs.

If you add up both players’ total attempts during the regular season and playoffs, they are going over this number at an 86.4 percent clip. The -112 odds imply closer to a 50 percent chance of this cashing. This presents us with good value. Let’s smash the over and run.

Total Game Sacks: Over 5.5 (+110 DraftKings)

Until the AFC Championship Game, the Bengals offensive line was letting Joe Burrow get killed. Over the last 12 games, Burrow has been sacked 3.83 times per game, and at least three times in nine of those games. Cincinnati’s offensive line only allowed one sack versus Kansas City, but they will have a more demanding test against a defense featuring Von Miller and Aaron Donald.

The Bengals defense is capable as well. They tied for the 11th-most sacks largely because of Trey Hendrickson and Sam Hubbard during the regular season. On the flip side, Matthew Stafford has been sacked twice in each of the last two games. We could see spurts of fireworks offensively, but there will be sacks mixed in between.

Player Props

Matthew Stafford: Over 2.5 Rush Attempts (-110 DraftKings)

Matthew Stafford Super Bowl Prop Bet Rams
Photo: NFL/Twitter

Stafford isn’t known as a rushing quarterback, but he’s rushed at least four times in every postseason game this year. The Rams’ signal-caller should eclipse this mark, whether it be via quarterback sneaks, broken plays that require scrambling for a couple of yards, or kneel-downs to seal the victory at the end of the game.

Bengals/Evan McPherson: Over 1.5 Field Goals Made (-115 DraftKings)

Throughout these playoffs, there’s only one way to describe Cincinnati’s rookie kicker. Rock-solid. McPherson is 12-for-12 on field goal attempts, including a game-winner against the Tennessee Titans.

Much like my reasoning behind the McPherson prop against the Chiefs, the Rams have a solid defense, which can stall out good offenses once they get into LA territory. I expect the Bengals to be able to score touchdowns, but I’m willing to bet they’ll stall at least once or twice after a nice drive.

The kicker here (see what I did there) is McPherson hasn’t been missing opportunities, and I don’t see it starting in this game considering his hot streak. He’s also chasing history. McPherson is three field goals away from breaking Adam Vinatieri’s postseason record.

Instead of taking his kicking points over 7.5, why not just take his field goals at a better price? If you take his kicking points, in essence, you’re betting on him to make at least two fields and two extra points. Otherwise, you would need one field goal and five touchdowns to have a chance.

Cooper Kupp: Under Receiving Yards

Notice I didn’t list his receiving yards number? I expect the public to hammer Kupp’s receiving yards prop Over and his number to trend up closer to kickoff. In my heart of hearts, I believe Vegas set a sharp line. I think they set the line a little higher than usual, knowing the public will be inclined to bet Kupp’s Over no matter what it’s set at.

With the way his season has gone, he’s always capable of smashing the Over on this prop. However, the true percentage likelihood he will go over isn’t what they’re setting the line at. They are taking a stand. At 105.5 yards, I’m not rushing to bet this either way, but I’m willing to wait and take the stance that he will go under if this creeps up around 110.5 yards.

Cooper Kupp: Anytime Touchdown/Rams To Win (+105 DraftKings)

Cooper Kupp Super Bowl Prop Bet Rams
Photo: RamsNFL/Twitter

Although I’ve listed Kupp’s yardage total under as a bet to consider, he’s not going to get shut out. He’s been the best receiver in football this season, evidenced by his NFL Offensive Player of the Year honors. He’ll get his share of receptions. If you’re betting on Kupp to score a touchdown, you’re laying juice on every book. Same thing for betting the Rams on the Moneyline.

Kupp scored 20 touchdowns in 20 games between the regular season and playoffs. He has at least one touchdown in each of the last five. Kupp has failed to score a touchdown in only six games this season. Coincidentally, the Rams are 2-4 when Kupp doesn’t reach the endzone. In other words, this is another way to get exposure to both Kupp and the Rams winning without paying a high rake fee.

The Tyler Boyd Bowl

  • Tyler Boyd Over 39.5 Receiving Yards (-114 FanDuel)
  • Longest Reception Over 17.5 Yards (-108 FanDuel)
  • Tyler Boyd Anytime Touchdown (+275 DraftKings)
  • MVP (+10000 FanDuel/PointsBet)
Tyler Boyd Bengals
Photo: Lynne Sladky/AP

If you couldn’t tell, Tyler Boyd is my guy in this game. I’m not unloading the entire bankroll on him, but if he has a big day, I’m going to be a happy camper. Bengals tight end C.J. Uzomah sustained a knee injury during the first quarter of the AFC Championship game against the Chiefs. According to him, he feels great, and he’s not going to miss the biggest game of his life. But will he be limited at all? The injury didn’t look good, and I can’t imagine he’s 100 percent.

Jalen Ramsey will likely be covering Ja’Marr Chase or Tee Higgins the majority of the game. Such scenarios could free up Boyd for increased targets over the middle, especially if Uzomah plays more of a decoy role. While Boyd has failed to go over this number in each of the last four games, he continues to receive targets from Burrow. Over his last eight games, Boyd is averaging 5.38 targets per game. Maybe he’ll finally have another game with some decent YAC numbers, which is also why I like his longest reception prop.

As for the longest reception over 17.5 yards, Boyd hasn’t gone over this number in four straight games dating back to the regular season. Nonetheless, he went over this number four consecutive times right before the current cold streak. He’s due.

Taking one of the quarterbacks to win MVP is the safe bet, but I only want to take a shot. Don’t get me wrong, I don’t expect this to hit. However, Boyd plays a key role in Cincinnati’s offense. At this price, I’ll take the bait. My strategy when it comes to the Super Bowl MVP Award is to bet smaller wagers on a couple of long shots and hope I get lucky.

Historically, this is a quarterback award. Nine of the last 12 Super Bowl MVPs have been quarterbacks. Yet, if the Bengals win a squeaker and Joe Burrow doesn’t put up huge numbers, maybe a slot receiver like Boyd reaches the endzone a couple of times and we get lucky. As you might recall, the last non-quarterback Super Bowl MVP winner was a slot receiver. In Super Bowl LIII, Julian Edelman hoisted the trophy after the Patriots beat Sean McVay’s Rams.

Best of luck and enjoy the game. Those are the prop bets I’m rolling with for now. Be sure to follow On Tap Bets on Twitter for more content and reach out to me @Theriot326 with any questions or comments. We will have more picks closer to kickoff, including the #LockUm parlay.

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