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Why +8.5 Might Be Enough for the Bears Against the Packers

Why the Bears can cover against the Packers in Week 12.
Bears Packers

Photo: Stacy Revere/Getty Images

Greetings, degenerate nation. Welcome to "El Matador" which is Spanish for "The Matador". In this quick write-up of easily-debunked statements, you'll find numerous reasons why the Chicago Bears should be able to cover the 8.5-point spread on Sunday at Lambeau Field.

"The Return"

Yes, this is referring to Mitchell Trubisky being back under center. Now, before you frisbee your phone or laptop, let me explain. What we know about this Bears offense is that there is virtually no time for plays to develop. The best way to fix that is to upgrade the offensive line, but well, yeah, that didn't happen.

So, the next best thing is to put someone behind that line who can move and create some sort of opportunity when the pocket collapses. Trubisky, regardless of what you think about his throwing capabilities or his ability to read defenses, can make some plays with his legs. This will inevitably take some pressure off that line and possibly even open up the playbook more. The point is, it doesn't seem like this will be a game where offensive plays last fewer than two seconds. Look for plays to be extended and targets to open up against the Packers' secondary.

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Our Cousin, Eddie

While everyone understands that Aaron Rodgers and the Packers' offense can put up ridiculous numbers, Bears fans know what the team has in the secondary. Eddie Jackson came off the COVID-19/Reserve list and will be back there foaming at the mouth to try and pick off a Rodgers' pass. As far as Green Bay receivers are concerned, Davante Adams will most likely score, but Allen Lazard and the rest of that corps can be contained by Kyle Fuller and Jaylon Johnson.

Swiss Cheese

The Packers' run defense is bad...that's it, that's the tweet. Green Bay has consistently given up big yards to running backs all year long. Sure, the Bears' backfield has issues, but this is a perfect opportunity to get it going on the ground no matter who carries the ball.

Bringin' Out Da Best

Let's not forget that this is still a rivalry. Even with the Bears' offensive struggles, these teams hate each other, which means extra motivation, which always helps. The lack of fans in Green Bay will make it less daunting as well, just look at what the Jacksonville Jaguars did a few weeks ago. Remember last year's game at Lambeau? A similar Bears team was one lateral away from a crucial score in the final seconds.

The Verdict

With all of the above factors in mind, as well as the Packers' tough loss against the Indianapolis Colts last weekend, it seems that the 8.5 points that many sportsbooks have this pegged at are too much. No, it is not believed that the Bears will win this game, but keeping it close is likely in the cards. It wouldn't be shocking at all for the Bears to score a garbage-time touchdown to cover, either.

So, good luck with all of your wagers on Sunday, and let's hope that the Monsters of the Midway come out of that bye week better than they went into it. Don't forget to follow Bears On Tap on Twitter.