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CFP National Championship Game: Alabama vs. Georgia Betting Guide

There's no better way to enjoy a big football game than to gamble on it. I've lined up four bets I really like for the CFP National Championship.
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Photo: On Tap Sports Net

Here we go. We’ve finally made it to college football's Super Bowl equivalent, the CFP National Championship Game.

Indeed, Georgia will be out for revenge after losing 41-24 to Alabama in the SEC Championship Game. All eyes will be on this one. Will Nick Saban get the best of Georgia again? Or will Kirby Smart’s squad prevail? We shall see.

Before kickoff, let’s look at some possible betting angles to make the game even more enjoyable. 

James Cook Over 23.5 Receiving Yards (-110 FanDuel)

James Cook was an integral part of Georgia’s offensive achievements against Michigan. Cook caught all four of his targets for 112 yards and a touchdown. In the SEC Championship game against Alabama, Cook was Stetson Bennett’s second-most targeted player as he threw it to him six times. Cook caught four passes for 28 yards.

One thing is certain tonight: Will Anderson Jr. and Alabama’s defensive line will apply pressure. Through Jan. 3, the Tide ranked second in the country with a 10.9 percent sack rate. Alabama will force Bennett to get rid of the ball sooner than he’d like, which could lead to more dump-off passes to guys like Cook. I like his chances to go over his receiving yardage total, but this is the last number I’d play it to.

Bryce Young Over 304.5 Passing Yards (-110 FanDuel)

Bryce Young’s passing yardage total is depressed because of his recent final stat line against Cincinnati. Young threw for only 181 passing yards. However, Cincinnati could have the best secondary in college football, and Alabama didn’t need to air it out as much. The Crimson Tide rushed for 301 yards, led by Brian Robinson, who ran for 204.

Georgia’s run-stopping unit is much more difficult to have that level of success against. They rank third in the country, allowing under 84 rushing yards per game. When these two teams met in the SEC Championship Game, Bama rushed for 115 yards, but only 76 came from running backs.

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Expect Young to throw enough to eclipse this number, even if he doesn’t have as much success as in the SEC title game. Young threw for 421 yards with three touchdowns and zero interceptions against the Bearcats. The best way for Nick Saban to attack this Georgia defense is through the air. I’d play this up to 309.5.

Jameson Williams Most Receiving Yards (-120 FanDuel)

With fellow Alabama wideout John Metchie absent for this game, Jameson Williams is undoubtedly the No. 1 option for the Tide. In fact, he’s the unquestioned No. 1 on each team. The player with the second-highest odds to have the most receiving yards in this game is Brock Bowers, Georgia’s standout tight end. However, his odds start at +300. The next closest is George Pickens at +1000. That’s a considerable gap, indicating a substantial likelihood of Williams hitting this prop.

When Metchie left the game against Georgia due to a torn ACL, he had six catches for 97 yards and a touchdown. Williams wound up with seven catches for 184 yards and two touchdowns. Furthermore, Williams has been the big-chunk play receiver for Bama this season, racking up 20.1 yards per reception and a team-leading 1,507 receiving yards. Bowers has a chance to play spoiler if he has a similar 10-catch, 139-yard performance like he had the first time against the Tide. However, I’m banking on Nick Saban making adjustments to limit Bowers. 

Alabama Moneyline (+125 PointsBet)

Nick Saban is an underdog in a National Championship Game. Betting against this man in big games should be illegal. I expect it to be a good game, and Georgia certainly has a chance to win. Nonetheless, the value is too good for me to pass up an opportunity to take Bama as a dog.

Since 2009, Nick Saban’s team has only been an underdog three times out of 181 games. Now, what about the times they were underdogs? Alabama won each of those games by an average of 21 points, beating Georgia in two of them, including the SEC Championship Game only two games ago. Not to mention, Alabama has beaten Georgia seven straight times, with each of the last two finishing 41-24.

Will Anderson Jr. is a freakish athlete coming off the edge for Bama. He leads the country with 17.5 sacks and 31 tackles for loss and was able to record one sack against Georgia in their first meeting. I think quarterback Stetson Bennett could have trouble with the pressure he’ll face tonight, and he’s not the greatest quarterback when playing from behind in forced passing down situations.

The Crimson Tide will have the best quarterback on the field, the best defensive player, and the best head coach. Roll Tide Roll. You can take the points. I’ll take the Moneyline.

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