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Kev's Gambling Corner: Week of 10/8/2019

Kevin breaks down this week's football betting action in his weekly Gambling Corner article for On Tap Sports Net.
Photo: Getty Images

Photo: Getty Images

Welcome back to the weekly installment of Kev's Gambling Corner. I know many of you may be wondering how I can even show my face (hands? words?) here after that abomination of a weekend. Hand up, that's on me. I will make this up to you. I'm handcuffing myself to the couch this weekend while I will these picks to fruition.

A few things to note:

I know I went 1-5 last week. Please keep reminding me. It hurts slightly less each time. It keeps me grounded.

I received a shocking amount of negative and angry feedback about picking an under. The under hit. I went 1-5 and the only thing that hit was an under. We only had to watch 12 punts, not 15. Nonetheless, I consider myself a man of the people. You want an over, I'll give you an over.

Similar to last week, I’m aggressively stressed out over the outcome of these picks. I’m a hot mess. Enjoy!

NFL Picks

Cincinnati Bengals +11.5 @ Baltimore Ravens

The Bengals are bad this year. Simple as that. On defense, they currently sit 29th in points against, 28th in sacks, and 31st in rushing yards against. The only team to give up more rushing yards per game is the Miami Dolphins. The Dolphins gave up 265 yards of rushing to, you guessed it, the Baltimore Ravens. Look for a similar outcome to week one where Baltimore won 59-10.

Source: NFL

Source: NFL

Pick: Ravens -11.5

Tennessee Titans Under of the Week

Now I know what you're thinking. Kevin, you lied to us. This is an under. Stay with me folks, we got a juicy college over down the road. The Titans are 4-1 at hitting the under this year. They are playing another "defense first" football team this week. I love it when I can almost word-for-word regurgitate what I wrote last week. Both teams rank in the bottom third of the NFL in pace of play. On the Tennessee side, Marcus Mariota still hasn't turned the ball over. Denver is looking more like the team we expected under Vic Fangio. Run the ball and rely on your defense. Don't watch this game.

Pick: Under 39.5

Chicago Bears Pick of the Week:

Chicago is off this week after a horrible loss across the pond. In their place, I'll be backing an equally frustrating team. Atlanta heads to Arizona in a battle of currently underwhelming NFL birds. I'm going to assume this was a touchdown and not a pick six.

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Pick: Falcons -2.5

College Picks

Texas vs. Oklahoma Over/Under 75.5

Here we are folks: The Red River Showdown (Rivalry? Shootout? Classic?) If you take the under here, you shouldn't be allowed to watch college football. I've taken the over in this match-up for the last 37 years. The over is 6-3 in the last nine of these neutral site electric factories. They hit 93 points last year. I assume we'll see Matthew McConaughey on the sidelines as per usual. My unconfirmed stat of the week: The over is 273-4-2 when he is on the sidelines. They might hit the over in the first quarter.

Source: ESPN

Source: ESPN

Pick: Over 75.5 (play this line up to 150 points)

Penn State -3.5 @ Iowa

This is a night game at Kinnick Stadium. Iowa is 6-2 straight up in their last eight, including wins over (then) #3 Ohio State and #2 Michigan. The last time they played Penn State at home, they lost by two. Penn State was fourth in the AP rankings. This is a better version of Pittsburgh's surprisingly stout defense that gave redshirt sophomore Sean Clifford trouble three weeks ago. Not to mention the first real road test for Clifford (insert Maryland football joke here). Nate Stanley has been more comfortable at home this season which bodes well for the Iowa offense. I'll take the home team in a bounce-back game

Source: University of Iowa

Source: University of Iowa

Pick: Iowa +3.5

Blindly Follow Me Because You’re a Degenerate Pick:

Alabama -16.5 @ Texas A&M

You don't make money betting against Bama

Source: SEC Network

Source: SEC Network

Pick: Bama -16.5

That's all for this week folks, good luck!

Featured Photo: Getty Images