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Generally, prop bets are a great way to boost your golf betting bankroll. If you tailed every pick from last week’s article, you didn’t increase anything other than your pain tolerance. That happens. The grind throughout an entire season should pay out in the long run. All that matters is if we have a sound strategy and wind up ahead when it’s all said and done.

This week, we have the RSM Classic in St. Simons Island, Georgia, at the Sea Island Golf Club. Golfers will take on two relatively similar courses, the Seaside Course and Plantation Course. Each golfer will play one of their first two rounds on the Plantation Course. If and when the golfers make the cut, they will play the last two rounds on the Seaside Course. For a detailed course breakdown, check out Jack Bushman’s article, including outright favorites and long-shot picks.

Key Statistics

  • SG: Approach
  • Driving Accuracy
  • Birdie or Better %
  • Bogey Avoidance
  • Course History
  • SG: Putting (Bermudagrass)

Prop Bets

Webb Simpson Top 40 (-110 BetRivers) 1 Unit

Simpson isn’t playing his best golf right now, so I’m taking a bit of a risk. However, he dominates this region and has remarkable course history at Sea Island. Ultimately, I’m choosing to bet on Simpson because there’s so much data on him playing good golf here.

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Dating back to when this event was known as the McGladrey Classic in the early 2010s, Simpson has crushed it at Sea Island. He’s played 10 events at Seaside and has made nine of 10 cuts with an eighth place last year, five top 10s, and three top 5s. Outside of a withdraw in 2017, he’s finished no worse than T41 in 2014.

Joel Dahmen Over Will Gordon (-130 DraftKings) ½ Unit

The first thing that sticks out with this bet is the odds. The odds aren’t in our favor, heavily juiced at -130 to Dahmen’s side. However, that feels about right for this matchup. Dahmen is very accurate off the tee — 12th last season in driving accuracy.

Dahmen’s also been a model of consistency so far throughout this fall swing season, with four of his last five events finishing T16 or better and top 10 finishes in back-to-back events. Dahmen’s best finish at Sea Island was a T29 last year, but he’s made four of six cuts. He’s also one of the best in this week’s field in bogey avoidance this season.

If we’re talking about golfers with a high floor, Will Gordon seems to be in that category right now. Gordon is six-for-six this season in cuts made. He does have a 10th-place finish at Sea Island to go along with a missed cut last year. Still, I find myself gravitating to Dahmen over Gordon in this spot. I’m not betting on him outright, but I needed to get some money on the bucket hat-wearing mustachioed man.

That’s it for this week. I decided to go with a lighter card. The events where it feels anyone can win due to not needing a long driver or it being more of a putting contest tend to push me in a more conservative direction as far as my betting card goes.

Let’s cash some tickets. Best of luck.